“Confidence”
With age, we grow in experience, which may cause us to overrate the accuracy of our judgments. This is the conclusion voiced by Malcolm Gladwell (Outliers, Blink, The Tipping Point) in his recent The New Yorker article, “Cocksure: Banks, battles, and the psychology of overconfidence.” Gladwell investigates the mental-space of decision-making and asserts that leaders in war and peace, financial and economic, base their future behavior on their past successes, rather than reviewing current situations as ones requiring different and new thinking. The result is a failure to adapt.
We may think life is a game, but unlike a game with rules and boundaries generating limited possibilities that repeat themselves, life is open to unlimited possibilities. “Perhaps this is part of why we play games: there is something intoxicating about pure expertise, and the real mastery we can attain around a card table or behind the wheel of a racecar emboldens us when we move into the more complex realms.”
kenne
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